Underlying numbers suggest James Harden problem is on the horizon for Clippers

James Harden, LA Clippers
James Harden, LA Clippers | David Reginek-Imagn Images

A number of the LA Clippers' deficits this season have been due to poor fourth-quarter production. At times, the Clippers' legs seem to be shaky, and players begin to execute with less effort in winnable scenarios. These circumstances ultimately place opponents with a higher winning probability.

The Clippers' performance in the fourth quarter, especially in the final minutes, depends on the flow and pace of the former MVP, James Harden. If he makes shots, finds the open lanes, and feels confident, LA usually finishes ahead.

A prime example is the Clippers' recent win against the Chicago Bulls, in which Harden finished with 30 points, six assists, and a dagger three-pointer with a contest from two defenders. He was on fire and scored the biggest shot of the night.

However, what comes with every superstar are occasional, underwhelming performances. In this regard, Harden has days where the ball is off-target, and the turnovers occur more than expected. 

Moreover, Harden's fourth-quarter playmaking has been somewhat of an issue this season and is something head coach Tyronn Lue relies on. The tape and statistics back his errors up, making this a problem that must be cut short before the playoffs.

James Harden's fourth-quarter struggles are partly due to careless turnovers for the LA Clippers

When James Harden is in the game, particularly the final frame, opponents have the scouting report of whose hands the ball will be in. Regardless of his percentages, the Clippers are usually in complete control when Harden limits his late-game miscues.

This season, the 11-time all-star is averaging 21.8 points, 8.5 assists, and 5.9 rebounds while shooting 39.3% from the floor and 34.5% from a distance. The shot-making challenges may stand out, but Harden covers the gap with dominance in other areas

Conversely, Harden posts 4.6 turnovers per night, which is second most in the NBA. Of these turnovers, 1.1 occurred in the fourth, where he averages just 1.5 assists.

Additionally, Harden has committed 48 turnovers(fourth) within the fourth this season and 64 assists(17th). These numbers give him an assist-turnover ratio of 1.33, the lowest of every top-ten player in assist averages.

These statistics are likely to increase not in favor of the three-time scoring champion, as the Clippers will be imposing a more significant load on his shoulders with the Western Conference race coming to a close finish.

This issue can be solved if Harden watches the film and implements what he perceives on the court.

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